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HHT: 10CSV

22 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Wigan
33.8%
Draw
39.0%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Wigan

vs
1.06

Preston

Markets

BTTS38.3%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.0%
0-1
14.7%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
0-3
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).