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HHT: 31CSV

26 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Ebbsfleet
33.2%
Draw
34.6%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.02

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).