Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.4%
Weymouth
14.9%
Draw
78.7%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Weymouth
vs
2.60
Notts County
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.2%
0-3
11.4%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-4
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
1-4
4.8%
0-0
4.5%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
2.7%
1-5
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).