Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.7%
Notts County
16.5%
Draw
10.9%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Notts County
vs
0.98
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.3%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).