Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
Metz
13.2%
Draw
10.9%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Metz
vs
1.00
Amiens
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.573.8%
Over 3.553.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
5-0
3.3%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).