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AHT: 02CSV

23 Apr 2016

Spezia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.4%
Vicenza
30.0%
Draw
28.6%
Spezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Vicenza

vs
1.06

Spezia

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).