Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Villarreal B
30.6%
Draw
41.7%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Villarreal B
vs
1.11
Leganes
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).