Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Rio Ave
28.5%
Draw
37.4%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Rio Ave
vs
1.29
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).