Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Brentford
28.4%
Draw
42.0%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Brentford
vs
1.39
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).