Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Krasnodar
33.2%
Draw
29.5%
Zenit
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Krasnodar
vs
0.96
Zenit
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).