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03 Jan 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Cultural Leonesa
25.6%
Draw
47.2%
Sociedad B

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Cultural Leonesa

vs
1.50

Sociedad B

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).