Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.8%
Chelsea
11.5%
Draw
3.7%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Chelsea
vs
0.57
Leicester
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-0
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.3%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).