Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Eibar
33.3%
Draw
34.6%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Eibar
vs
0.89
Elche
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.525.3%
Over 3.59.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.4%
0-1
15.8%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).