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28 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.3%
Molde
26.1%
Draw
32.6%
Tromsø

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Molde

vs
1.20

Tromsø

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).