Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Wrexham
19.5%
Draw
23.6%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Wrexham
vs
1.40
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).