Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Port Vale
25.7%
Draw
24.5%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Port Vale
vs
0.92
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).