Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.7%
Cagliari
18.5%
Draw
5.9%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Cagliari
vs
0.45
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.2%
1-0
15.6%
3-0
12.1%
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
0-1
2.7%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).