Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.2%
Leyton Orient
22.5%
Draw
13.3%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Leyton Orient
vs
0.60
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).