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18 Aug 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.6%
Krasnodar
13.5%
Draw
3.9%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

2.60

Krasnodar

vs
0.46

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.9%
3-0
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
1-1
6.3%
0-0
5.4%
5-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).