Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Cagliari
23.4%
Draw
55.7%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Cagliari
vs
1.72
Napoli
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).