Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Nimes
23.5%
Draw
49.7%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Nimes
vs
1.68
Lorient
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).