Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.3%
Estoril
21.9%
Draw
63.9%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Estoril
vs
2.04
Porto
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.4%
0-1
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).