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AHT: 02

15 Mar 2026 · 16:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.7%
Rijeka
27.1%
Draw
13.2%
Istra 1961

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Rijeka

vs
0.64

Istra 1961

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.6%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).