Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Lorient
19.4%
Draw
61.3%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Lorient
vs
2.10
Aris
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).