Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Granada
32.3%
Draw
36.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Granada
vs
0.97
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.0%
0-1
15.7%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).