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25 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.2%
Walsall
24.3%
Draw
20.5%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Walsall

vs
0.83

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).