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AHT: 10CSV

01 Oct 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.3%
Cagliari
31.3%
Draw
29.4%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Cagliari

vs
1.02

Venezia

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).