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15 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.8%
Southend
26.6%
Draw
29.6%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Southend

vs
0.95

Coventry

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).