Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Crotone
26.3%
Draw
54.2%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Crotone
vs
1.69
Monza
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).