Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Norrköping
24.8%
Draw
38.7%
Elfsborg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Norrköping
vs
1.72
Elfsborg
Markets
BTTS67.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).