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21 May 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.5%
Marseille
21.6%
Draw
28.9%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Marseille

vs
1.43

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS64.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).