Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Lecco
31.4%
Draw
36.9%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Lecco
vs
1.18
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).