Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Cartagena
29.7%
Draw
39.2%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Cartagena
vs
1.12
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).