Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Palermo
23.8%
Draw
13.0%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Palermo
vs
0.73
Padova
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).