Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Burgos
33.1%
Draw
19.7%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Burgos
vs
0.57
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS28.4%
Over 0.580.6%
Over 1.548.5%
Over 2.522.5%
Over 3.58.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.9%
0-0
19.4%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
6.3%
3-0
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).