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AHT: 01

19 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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2.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
13.1%
Draw
84.8%
Burnley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.22

Sheffield Wednesday

vs
2.31

Burnley

Markets

BTTS17.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
21.3%
0-1
18.1%
0-3
16.4%
0-4
9.5%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
4.6%
0-5
4.4%
1-1
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
1-0
1.4%
1-5
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).