Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Paris SG
25.1%
Draw
38.3%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Paris SG
vs
1.37
Lens
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).