Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Pordenone
34.7%
Draw
32.4%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Pordenone
vs
0.94
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.6%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
12.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.1%
0-3
2.1%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).