Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Cagliari
24.2%
Draw
25.9%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Cagliari
vs
1.11
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).