Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.8%
Ayr
20.7%
Draw
14.5%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Ayr
vs
1.09
Alloa
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
4-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
0-0
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).