Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Wingate & Finchley
20.1%
Draw
17.9%
Ashton Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Wingate & Finchley
vs
0.99
Ashton Athletic
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
4.5%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).