Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Lugo
34.1%
Draw
48.0%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Lugo
vs
1.03
Burgos
Markets
BTTS25.4%
Over 0.578.6%
Over 1.545.3%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.57.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.3%
0-0
21.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-3
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
1-3
2.0%
2-2
1.5%
0-4
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).