Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Fatih Karagümrük
33.8%
Draw
44.6%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Fatih Karagümrük
vs
1.39
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.9%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).