Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Cheltenham
23.0%
Draw
35.8%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Cheltenham
vs
1.47
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).