Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Aberdeen
29.2%
Draw
21.4%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Aberdeen
vs
0.82
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).