Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Metz
23.8%
Draw
36.4%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Metz
vs
1.37
Nantes
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).