Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Aves
22.7%
Draw
58.6%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Aves
vs
1.72
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).