Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Hull
27.4%
Draw
24.3%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Hull
vs
1.04
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).