Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Alaves
32.0%
Draw
36.6%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Alaves
vs
1.02
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.7%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.0%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).