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DHT: 20

19 May 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.4%
Lokomotiv Moskva
26.0%
Draw
27.6%
CSKA Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Lokomotiv Moskva

vs
1.31

CSKA Moskva

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).